Archive for June, 2010

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Demographic Change and the Future of the Parties

June 27, 2010

Polling place with English, Chinese, Vietnamese and Spanish sign.

The tectonic plates of American politics are shifting. A powerful concatenation of demographic forces is transforming the American electorate and reshaping both major political parties. And, as demographic trends continue, this transformation and reshaping will deepen. The Democratic Party will become even more dominated by the emerging constituencies that gave Barack Obama his historic 2008 victory, while the Republican Party will be forced to move toward the center to compete for these constituencies. As a result, modern conservatism is likely to lose its dominant place in the GOP.

Key findings on the electorate’s demographic transformation are examined below.

Heavily Democratic minority voters (80 percent for Obama) increased their share of votes in U.S. presidential elections by 11 percentage points between 1988 and 2008, while the share of increasingly Democratic white college graduate voters rose 4 points. But the share of white working-class (not college-educated) voters, who have remained conservative in their orientation, has plummeted by 15 points.

That’s a pattern that’s repeated in state after state, helping send those states in a Democratic direction. In Pennsylvania, for example, the white working class declined by 25 points between 1988 and 2008, while white college graduates increased by 16 points and minorities by 8 points. And in Nevada, the white working class is down 24 points over the same time period, while minority voters are up an amazing 19 points and white college graduates by 4 points.

These trends will continue, and the United States will be majority-minority nation by 2042. By 2050, the country will be 54 percent minority as Latinos double from 15 percent to 30 percent of the population, Asian Americans increase from 5 percent to 9 percent, and African Americans move from 14 to 15 percent.

The tea baggers might help the GOP in the short term – although I doubt even that. But in the long turn that hard right turn is death for the GOP.

http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2010/06/demographic_party_change.html

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Howdy Doody Rides Again

June 25, 2010

Gov. Bobby Jindal’s message has been loud and clear, using language such as “We will only be winning this war when we’re actually deploying every resource,” “They (the federal government) can provide more resources” and “It’s clear the resources needed to protect our coast are still not here.”

But nearly two months after the governor requested – and the Department of Defense approved the use of 6,000 Louisiana National Guard troops – only a fraction – 1,053 – have actually been deployed by Jindal to fight the spill.

“If you ask any Louisianan, if you said ‘If you had those troops, do you think they could be put to good use? Is there anything they can do in your parish?’ I think they’d all tell you ‘Absolutely,'” Louisiana state Sen. Karen Carter Peterson, D-New Orleans, said.

As of today, the federal government has authorized a total of 17,500 National Guard troops across four Gulf states, all to be paid for by BP.

Jindal has plenty of time to slime the Federal Government – but little time to do anything. Another GOP good-old-boy.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/06/24/eveningnews/main6615414.shtml

Update
And This:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/26/us/politics/26jindal.html

The guy is a loose cannon. Reminds me of McSame. Shoot first – think latter.

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Something For Nothing Crowd Strikes Again

June 24, 2010

Farmer who put up sign claiming Democrats are ‘party of parasites’ has taken $1 million in farm subsidies.

Missouri farmer David Jungerman has raised the hackles of local residents with a politically-charged sign he’s placed on his “45-foot-long, semi-truck box trailer” on his farm. The trailer reads: “Are you a Producer or Parasite Democrats – Party of the Parasites.” Now, the Kansas City Star reveals that Jungerman has been the recipient of over a million dollars of federal farm subsidies since 1995:
The Raytown farmer who posted a sign on a semi-truck trailer accusing Democrats of being the “Party of Parasites” received more than $1 million in federal crop subsidies since 1995. […]
After a story about Jungerman’s trailer ran in Sunday’s Star, however, some readers called him a hypocrite for criticizing others for getting government help while taking government subsidies paid for by taxpayers.
Jungerman said he put up the sign to protest people who pay no taxes, but, “Always have their hand out for whatever the government will give them” in social programs.

http://thinkprogress.org/2010/06/23/farmer-democrats-parasites-subsidies/

Most farm subsidies don’t go to small farmers – they go to corporate ones. They should be eliminated or strictly limited.

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Be vewy, vewy quiet. I’m hunting Wibewals!

June 24, 2010
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What Was McCrystal Thinking?

June 22, 2010

From Marc Armbinder:

What in the heck was Gen. Stanley McChrystal thinking? I mean, I know what he was thinking: he was tired of being the victim of what he believes is a concerted effort on behalf of Ambassador to Afghanistan Karl Eikenberry and others to undermine everything he was given 18 months to do. He was tired of being perceived in the press as a neoconservative killer, Dick Cheney’s hired assassin, or disloyal to President Obama and his staff. He was angry at being blamed for leaking the draft of his report to the President to Bob Woodward. (He did NOT leak the document). He was miffed that a large number of mid-ranking soldiers and battalion commanders and enlisted guys didn’t support his strategy.

What I don’t know is which of McChrystal’s aides thought it would be a good idea to let his senior staff speak on background to Rolling Stone (!), of all publications, venting McChrystal’s frustrations and their own.
Read more here.
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Business School Lesson

June 21, 2010

Every business school has a segment on how to handle corporate disasters.
The bottom line lesson is move in immediately and be painfully honest – and make it right.
The course covers the Good the Bad and the Ugly.
BP will move to the top of the Ugly list.

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Do Not Count On Any Fossil Fuel

June 21, 2010